CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-05-25T18:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-05-25T18:38Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20339/-1
CME Note: Visible in the SW in STEREO A COR2 and in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Moves quickly through C2 FOV. Associated with eruption in vicinity of AR 13016 (S18W42), visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195/304 beginning 2022-05-25T18:01Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-05-27T21:20Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

**************************************************************************************
% Compiled module: EAM
**************************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 1000.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      1068.52
Acceleration:      -2.70603
Duration in seconds:        182547.46
Duration in days:        2.1128178
**************************************************************************************
Acceleration of the CME:  -2.71 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  574.5 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 27/05/2022 Time: 21:20 UT
**************************************************************************************

Lead Time: 15.33 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-05-27T06:00Z

CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy